基于EFI方法的流域生态安全特征及其演变规律
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1.南京信息工程大学生态与应用气象学院;2.新疆林科院造林治沙所;3.阿克苏地区自然资源局;4.阿克苏地区林草局

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P40;Q14?????

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阿克苏河流域山水林田湖草沙一体化保护和修复研究(AKSSSXM2022620)


Ecological security characteristics and evolution law of basin based on EFI method
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1.School of Ecology and Applied Meteorology,Nanjing University of Information Science Technology;2.Institute of Afforestation and Sand Control,Xinjiang Academy of Forestry Sciences;3.Xinjiang Aksu Region Natural Resources Bureau;4.Forestry and Grassland Bureau of Aksu Region

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    摘要:

    阿克苏河流域山水工程作为联合国生态修复旗舰项目,在应对气候变化,保护生物多样性,提升生态服务价值与生态产品质量,维护流域生态安全等方面发挥着重要作用。基于地域分异规律、生态系统耦合原理以及环境效应机制,在分析生态脆弱性时空演变与生态安全耦合关系的基础上,构建由4个子系统20个指标组成的阿克苏河流域山水林田湖草沙生命系统的生态脆弱性评价指标体系;并应用EFI方法,分析各指标及子系统对EFI的贡献及其生态效应。EFI正指标数值愈大,生态安全性愈低;EFI负指标数值绝对值愈大,生态安全性愈高。采用实际监测、实验分析、模型模拟、遥感制图以及逻辑推理与经验分析等途径,获得了1998年度及2023年度各指标的多源属性数据,并确定各指标权重及其阈值;通过归一化处理等方法,规范生态安全评价的数据基础。结果表明:(1)生态安全是错综复杂的系统性问题。各个子系统及其要素之间相互作用,流域生态安全表现出一定的综合性、滞后性、复杂性及不确定性。(2)阿克苏河流域25a间生态安全处于稳定趋好状态。EFI值分别为0.08及0.06,通过评价标准可知,生态脆弱性进一步减弱,生态安全程度持续增强。(3)各子系统生态安全程度及其对流域生态安全效应的贡献程度各不相同。水资源子系统各指标基本维持稳定并逐渐趋好,子系统脆弱性稳中趋弱,生态安全特征表现出稳中趋强的演变规律。土地资源子系统中相关要素的正负效应共存,特别是受盐渍化指数波动的影响,生态安全改善的趋势受到一定程度的限制。生物资源子系统及环境子系统的EFI值均在大幅度降低,生态安全程度明显增强。在揭示生态安全演变过程及其规律的基础上,提出生态安全风险防控、格局优化、过程调控、生态修复及管理模式,为促进流域绿色低碳高质量发展提供支撑。

    Abstract:

    The Aksu River Basin landscape engineering, as a flagship project of the UN for ecological restoration, plays an important role in addressing climate change, protecting biodiversity, enhancing the value of ecological services and the quality of ecological products, and maintaining ecological security in the basin. Based on the law of regional differentiation, the principle of ecosystem coupling, and the mechanism of environmental effects, and based on the analysis of the coupling relationship between the spatiotemporal evolution of ecological vulnerability and ecological security, a ecological fragility evaluation index system for the Aksu River Basin"s mountains, rivers, forests, fields, lakes, grasslands, and sands system is constructed, consisting of 4 subsystems and 20 indicators. And apply the EFI method to analyze the contribution of various indicators and subsystems to EFI and their ecological effects.The larger the positive indicator value of EFI, the lower the ecological security.The larger the absolute value of the negative EFI indicator, the higher the ecological security. Obtained multi-source attribute data for various indicators in 1998 and 2023 through practical monitoring, experimental analysis, model simulation, remote sensing mapping, logical reasoning and empirical analysis, the weights and thresholds of each indicator are determined,which provide a data basis for ecological security evaluation through normalization and other methods. The results indicate that: (1) Ecological security is a complex and systematic issue. The interaction between various subsystems and their elements shows a certain degree of comprehensiveness, lag, complexity, and uncertainty in the ecological security of the basin. (2) The ecological security of the Aksu River Basin has been in a stable and improving state in recent 25 years. The EFI values are 0.08 and 0.06 in 1998 and 2023 respectively. According to the evaluation criteria, ecological fragility is further weakening and the degree of ecological security is continuously increasing. (3) The ecological security level of each subsystem and its contribution to the ecological security effect of the basin are different from each other. The indicators of the water resources subsystem are basically stable and gradually improving, and the fragility of the subsystem is becoming weaker while maintaining stability. The ecological security characteristics show an evolution pattern of becoming stronger while maintaining stability. The coexistence of positive and negative effects of relevant elements in the land resource subsystem, especially influenced by the variation of salinization index, has curbed the trend of improving ecological security. The EFI values of both biological resource subsystem and environmental subsystem are significantly decreasing, and the ecological security level is significantly enhanced. On the basis of revealing the evolution process and laws of ecological security, this paper proposes ecological security risk prevention and control, pattern optimization, process regulation, ecological restoration and management models, providing support for promoting green, low-carbon, and high-quality development of river basins.

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王让会,宁虎森,王海东,刘春伟,张志军,罗青红.基于EFI方法的流域生态安全特征及其演变规律[J].南京信息工程大学学报,,():

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  • 收稿日期:2024-01-15
  • 最后修改日期:2024-02-05
  • 录用日期:2024-02-05
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