基于组合注意力模型EAAT的云KPI数据预测方法
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TP391

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国家自然科学基金民航联合基金项目(U2033205,U1833114)


Cloud KPI data prediction based on combined attention model EAAT
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    摘要:

    为了准确分析云计算集群日常监控中KPI (Key Performance Indicator)数据的动态和变化趋势,并预测后续发展,达到提高云计算集群高可用性的目标,本文提出三分频的基于组合注意力模型的EWT-ARIMA-Auto-TPA (EAAT)云KPI数据预测方法.首先基于经验小波变换(Empirical Wavelet Transform,EWT)得到云KPI数据低中高频的内在模态变量(Intrinsic Mode Functions,IMFs)降低数据预测的复杂程度.其次,根据分解得到的低中高频IMFs信息特征,分别运用ARIMA、Autoformer、TPA-BiLSTM模型对每类IMFs进行预测.最后,将分类预测后结果经过逆变换IEWT加以合并得出预测结果.本文预测方法在谷歌和亚马逊的4个数据集上得到了验证,无论数据是否具有周期性或者稳定性,本文预测方法都有较好的结果,综合效果比对比模型有较大提升.

    Abstract:

    To accurately analyze the dynamics and changing trends of KPI (Key Performance Indicator) data in the daily monitoring of cloud computing clusters and predict its subsequent development to achieve high availability of cloud computing clusters, we propose a three-frequency cloud KPI data prediction approach based on combined attention model of EWT-ARIMA-Auto-TPA (EAAT for short).First, low, medium and high frequency Intrinsic Mode Variables (IMFs) of cloud KPI data are obtained via Empirical Wavelet Transform (EWT) to reduce the complexity of data prediction.Second, according to the information characteristics of low, medium and high frequency IMFs obtained from the decomposition, models of ARIMA, Autoformer, and TPA-BiLSTM are used to predict each type of IMFs.Finally, the classification prediction results are combined through the Inverse EWT (IEWT) to obtain the prediction result of the KPI.The proposed prediction approach has been verified on four datasets from Google and Amazon.Whether the data is periodic and stable or not, the proposed approach outperforms comparison models.

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丁建立,龚子恒.基于组合注意力模型EAAT的云KPI数据预测方法[J].南京信息工程大学学报(自然科学版),2023,15(6):652-661
DING Jianli, GONG Ziheng. Cloud KPI data prediction based on combined attention model EAAT[J]. Journal of Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, 2023,15(6):652-661

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  • 收稿日期:2023-01-08
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  • 在线发布日期: 2023-12-15
  • 出版日期: 2023-11-28

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