双碳目标下中国农业系统N2O排放及主粮低碳化生产研究
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F322

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中国科学院战略性先导科技专项(A类)(XDA23070400);国家自然科学基金(72003111)


N2 O emissions and low-carbon production of staple grains in China's agricultural system under the dual carbon target
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    摘要:

    农业作为N2O重要的排放源,厘清农业系统N2O排放对"双碳"目标实现具有重要意义.本文基于2000—2019年中国种植业、养殖业数据,估算了农业系统N2O排放量,并利用泰尔指数(Theil index)探求了中国大陆4大板块和8大经济区之间的差异性,对主粮低碳化生产提出对策建议.研究结果显示:1)中国农业系统N2O排放呈现先增加后减少趋势,其中2000—2015年是上升阶段,从69.98万t增加到86.01万t,2016—2019年为下降阶段,2019年农业系统N2O排放量为76.43万t.2)分省农业系统N2O排放量差异显著,2019年农业系统N2O排放量最少的是北京(0.056万t),最多的是河南(5.69万t);集中趋势更为凸显,广西、河南、江苏等排放量较多.3)省域之间、区域之间农业系统N2O排放量差异呈现多样性变化,如省域差异前期先扩大后缩小,2009年以来表现平稳,8大区域中北部沿海、东部沿海、大西北区域泰尔指数呈现下降趋势,其他区域皆呈上升趋势.为实现N2O减排,需要针对不同板块和经济区针对性开展主粮低碳化生产,需要重点针对中部板块、西部板块以及东北区域和大西南区域针对性开展低碳化生产.

    Abstract:

    The proposal of carbon peak and carbon neutrality goals will have a transformative impact on the socio-economic development of China.It is of great significance to clarify the agricultural N2O emissions for the realization of the dual carbon goal.Here,we calculate the N2O emissions from agricultural system using China's crop planting and manure management data from 2000 to 2019,use the Theil index to explore the difference in N2O emission among four major regions and eight economic zones,and propose suggestions for China's low-carbon production of staple grains.The results showed an increasing then decreasing trend in N2O emissions from China's agricultural system during 2000-2019.The N2O emissions increased during 2000-2015 from 699,800 tons in 2000 to 860,100 tons in 2015,and then declined to 764,300 tons in 2019.The N2O emission significantly varied between provinces,which was 560 tons in Beijing in 2019 and 56 900 tons in Henan in 2019.Along with the concentrated trend,diverse variations in N2O emission were observed between provinces and regions.The provincial differences first expanded and then narrowed,and have stabilized since 2009.For the eight economic zones,the Theil index showed a downward trend in the northern coast,eastern coast,northwest zone,and an upward trend in other zones.To reduce N2O emission,it is necessary to carry out low-carbon production of major grains targeted for different regions and economic zones,especially for the central region,western region,northeast zone and southwest zone.

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王国峰,刘朴,邓祥征,刘玉洁,孙志刚.双碳目标下中国农业系统N2O排放及主粮低碳化生产研究[J].南京信息工程大学学报(自然科学版),2022,14(4):484-492
WANG Guofeng, LIU Pu, DENG Xiangzheng, LIU Yujie, SUN Zhigang. N2 O emissions and low-carbon production of staple grains in China's agricultural system under the dual carbon target[J]. Journal of Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, 2022,14(4):484-492

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  • 收稿日期:2022-01-20
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  • 在线发布日期: 2022-09-01
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