Abstract:The fuzzy time series model was introduced to short-term climate prediction.Daily ground observations(from 1971 to 2007) from 34 weather stations of Chongqing,and the drought index and the flood index computed by Chongqing drought and flood monitoring and warning decision making system are used.The precipitation,average temperature of Chengkou county of Chongqing in January,and the Spring drought index of Chongqing from 2001 to 2007 are analyzed by fuzzy time series model.The trend in precipitation,average temperature,and the Spring drought index of 2004—2007 are predicted by fuzzy time series method,and the results are compared with that of other models like weight integrating forecast model,artificial neural networks,data mining integrating forecast.The comparison shows that fuzzy time series model is better in accuracy and simpler for computation.The fuzzy time series method will be more valuable in future application.