基于联邦学习和DAL策略的电力负荷预测
DOI:
作者:
作者单位:

1.重庆师范大学 计算机与信息科学学院;2.马来亚大学 高级研究院;3.重庆师范大学 新闻与媒体学院

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

基金项目:


Power Load Forecasting Based on Federated Learning and Decentralized Aggregation Learning (DAL) Strategy
Author:
Affiliation:

1.College of Computer and Information Science, Chongqing Normal University;2.University of Malaya, Kuala Lumpur;3.School of Journalism and Media, Chongqing Normal University

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    电力负荷预测是电力系统优化与运行的关键环节,但现有模型在跨区域预测中的精度较低,而传统联邦学习方法因通信开销大、训练效率低,难以满足实际应用需求。为此,本文提出了一种高效、低通信的跨区域负荷预测框架。具体而言,设计了一种基于时序卷积网络(TCN)、长短期记忆网络(LSTM)和注意力机制的混合模型(TCN-LSTM-Attention),并结合提出的去中心化聚合学习(DAL)策略,通过各区域子模型的本地训练和参数聚合优化全局模型。此外,本文提出了动态学习率减半与参数重置机制,进一步加速模型收敛。实验结果表明,该方法显著提升了预测精度,降低了通信开销,提高了训练效率,充分验证了其在跨区域电力负荷预测任务中的有效性与实用性。

    Abstract:

    Power load forecasting is a critical aspect of optimizing and operating power systems. However, existing models often exhibit low accuracy in cross-regional forecasting, while traditional federated learning methods face challenges such as high communication overhead and low training efficiency, making them unsuitable for practical applications. To address these issues, this paper proposes an efficient, low-communication framework for cross-regional load forecasting. Specifically, a hybrid model based on Temporal Convolutional Networks (TCN), Long Short-Term Memory Networks (LSTM), and Attention Mechanism (TCN-LSTM-Attention) is designed. This model is combined with the proposed Decentralized Aggregation Learning (DAL) strategy, optimizing the global model through local training of sub-models from different regions and parameter aggregation. Furthermore, a dynamic learning rate halving and parameter reset mechanism is introduced to accelerate model convergence. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method significantly improves forecasting accuracy, reduces communication overhead, and enhances training efficiency, fully validating its effectiveness and practicality in cross-regional power load forecasting tasks.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

周聪,李明,袁隆发,丁南威,铁瑞君,曾蒸.基于联邦学习和DAL策略的电力负荷预测[J].南京信息工程大学学报,,():

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:2025-01-17
  • 最后修改日期:2025-06-17
  • 录用日期:2025-06-19
  • 在线发布日期:
  • 出版日期:

地址:江苏省南京市宁六路219号    邮编:210044

联系电话:025-58731025    E-mail:nxdxb@nuist.edu.cn

南京信息工程大学学报 ® 2026 版权所有  技术支持:北京勤云科技发展有限公司