玉树站太阳总辐射变化特征及对气候变化的影响
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国家自然科学基金(41075066)


Research on the characteristics of total solar radiation change at Yushu Meteorological Station and its influence on climate change
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    摘要:

    对玉树站1961—2010年实测太阳总辐射资料分析表明,玉树太阳总辐射50年来呈逐渐减少的趋势.方差分析表明,玉树站的太阳总辐射突变点出现在1978年,此前总辐射量呈增加趋势,1978年以后,总体呈减少趋势,太阳总辐射处于相对偏少的时段,突变年后比突变年前平均年总辐射量减少了583.89 MJ/m2.玉树各月总辐射减少幅度各不同,8月减少幅度最大,6月减少幅度最小.日照时数的变化趋势与太阳总辐射的变化趋势一致.分析其对气候的影响可知,玉树站总辐射和年平均气温、夏季降水量、年蒸发量均呈负相关.若总辐射减少100 MJ/(m2·a),年平均气温将升高0.03 ℃,5—9月降水量将增加3.0 mm,年蒸发量将增加21.0 mm.

    Abstract:

    The meteorological observation data analysis showed that the total solar radiation at Yushu Meteorological Station from 1961 to 2011 presented a decreasing trend in recent 50 years.Analysis of variance showed that the mutation point of total solar radiation at Yushu Meteorological Station appeared in 1978.Before 1978,the total solar radiation was in an increasing trend,then it decreased and presented a decreasing trend after 1978.During years after 1978,the total solar radiation was relatively low,and the annual averge value was reduced by 583.89 MJ/m2 compared with that of years before 1978.At the same time,the reduced range of the total solar radiation was different for each month,which was maximum in August and minimum in June.The annual sunshine hours changed in accordance with the total solar radiation.Negative correlations existed between total solar radiation and the annual average temperature,the precipitation of summer and the annual evaporation.Analyzing results show that if the total solar radiation reduces by 100 MJ/(m2·a),then the annual average temperature will rise by 0.03 ℃,the precipitation from May to Septemper will increase by 3.0 mm,and the annual evaporation will increase by 21.0 mm.

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张焕平,张占峰,汪青春.玉树站太阳总辐射变化特征及对气候变化的影响[J].南京信息工程大学学报(自然科学版),2012,4(5):409-414
ZHANG Huanping, ZHANG Zhanfeng, WANG Qingchun. Research on the characteristics of total solar radiation change at Yushu Meteorological Station and its influence on climate change[J]. Journal of Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, 2012,4(5):409-414

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  • 收稿日期:2011-09-24
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